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More Signals On Defense

 

Sec. of Defense Gates is still on the road, warning those who will listen of the impending budget crunch for defense. His words are even now being analyzed by D.C think tanks:

From this morning’s Washington Post:

"We will not be able to 'do everything, buy everything,'" Gates said in testimony prepared for the Senate Armed Services Committee. "One thing we have known for many months is the spigot of defense funding opened by 9/11 is closing."

"Gates understands that we can't maintain the current level of spending in Iraq, if we are also going to increase the effort in Afghanistan. There simply isn't enough money," said Loren Thompson, a defense consultant with the Lexington Institute in Virginia.

Funding for troops and weapon systems in Afghanistan will mean buying fewer ships or planes, and much less spending in Iraq, Thompson said. "It may take some time before the administration begins cutting weapons programs, but the cuts are coming because the government is out of the money," he said.

But Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., chairman of the committee, noted the Obama administration's amended budget request expected to be released in April would more closely reflect the new president's defense priorities

From today's Reuters:

Defense Secretary Robert Gates vowed to reform the way the Pentagon buys weapons and said budget pressures resulting from two wars and the economic crisis would force tough choices in coming years.

"We will not be able to 'do everything, buy everything' ... I believe now is the time to take action," Gates said in testimony Tuesday to the Senate Armed Services Committee, where members welcomed his attention to the acquisition issue.

If you think the $1 trillion stimulus package might be used to shore up defense programs, don't hold your breath. The D.C. think tanks are already urging Pres. Obama to not allow those dollars to go to DoD.

...military spending is supposed to serve one central purpose: advancing U.S. security. The defense budget is not a jobs program, nor should it be. When military procurement becomes nothing more than a series of thinly veiled pork-barrel projects, it risks exposing our troops to unnecessary risks, and ultimately undermines our security.

This is not the first time that defense spending has been endorsed as a way to jump-start the economy. Plans to add tens of thousands of personnel to our armed forces will have a similar distorting effect. The resulting payroll increases will come at a high price to taxpayers and to our long-term security...Using the Pentagon budget as a source of economic stimulus is a bad bargain.

I have never heard such a intellectually dishonest opinion piece in my life, the Pentagon is the biggest pork barrel and federal jobs program in the entire federal budget. This is the left's attempt to wall DoD off from future funding streams.

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The Big Crunch

 I've discussed in this forum how entitlement programs like Medicare are starting to strangle defense spending. The squeeze has started, but will begin in earnest in 2012 when Medicare slips into the red and takes bigger bites out of general revenue. Unabated, this will worsen until discretionary spending is completely pushed out of the budget sometime around 2020 to 2030. I call this “The Big Crunch.”

I predicted a few days ago the looming deep recession (if we’re lucky) and nearly 1 trillion dollar bailout will accelerate the coming of The Big Crunch.  

Secretary of Defense Gates doesn’t share my concern. The Washington Times reports: 

Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates predicted Monday that growth in U.S. military spending would level off in the coming years but not face severe cutbacks, despite the current economic crisis…"I certainly would expect growth to level off, and my guess would be we'll be fortunate in the years immediately ahead ... if we were able to stay flat with inflation," he said," But in terms of the kind of deep cuts that followed the end of the Cold War, I would hope that we've gotten smarter than that."

It appears the Secretary of the Army doesn’t quite agree. The same day as Gates made his statement The Hill ran a story entitled, “Army Secretary Fears Crisis Will Hit Army's Funding.”

Army Secretary Pete Geren cautioned on Monday that Wall Street’s financial crisis and Congress’s $700 billion rescue plan could take a toll on the Army’s budget in the coming years…The financial crisis could exacerbate the fact that defense budgets traditionally are cut drastically at the end of wars, Geren said… “As an Army we have to be very concerned about it,” Geren said.

 I believe this is just starting to be whispered about in the halls of the Pentagon. Expect more new stories echoing  Secretary Geren’s concerns as the next budget cycle.

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